Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004294 0.004716 0.005170 0.005696 0.006290 0.006942 0.007715
2025-09-14 0.003687 0.004291 0.004990 0.005864 0.006936 0.008220 0.009892
2025-09-21 0.003221 0.003888 0.004695 0.005757 0.007134 0.008885 0.011321
2025-09-28 0.002882 0.003578 0.004451 0.005646 0.007268 0.009434 0.012624
2025-10-05 0.002656 0.003378 0.004313 0.005638 0.007509 0.010123 0.014176
2025-10-12 0.002513 0.003267 0.004272 0.005743 0.007899 0.011045 0.016178
2025-10-19 0.002334 0.003089 0.004120 0.005671 0.008017 0.011567 0.017623
2025-10-26 0.002196 0.002956 0.004016 0.005650 0.008200 0.012196 0.019318
2025-11-02 0.002057 0.002809 0.003878 0.005564 0.008266 0.012638 0.020743
2025-11-09 0.001966 0.002725 0.003824 0.005597 0.008519 0.013407 0.022858
2025-11-16 0.001862 0.002614 0.003721 0.005543 0.008618 0.013917 0.024563
2025-11-23 0.001748 0.002480 0.003573 0.005403 0.008559 0.014137 0.025728
2025-11-30 0.001669 0.002397 0.003504 0.005396 0.008740 0.014841 0.028055
2025-12-07 0.001632 0.002378 0.003535 0.005557 0.009241 0.016215 0.032092
2025-12-14 0.001544 0.002273 0.003419 0.005457 0.009250 0.016632 0.034078
2025-12-21 0.001463 0.002174 0.003307 0.005354 0.009242 0.017009 0.036043
2025-12-28 0.001406 0.002112 0.003251 0.005346 0.009415 0.017782 0.039135
2026-01-04 0.001373 0.002086 0.003254 0.005444 0.009805 0.019069 0.043845
2026-01-11 0.001314 0.002013 0.003172 0.005376 0.009851 0.019602 0.046652
2026-01-18 0.001267 0.001958 0.003117 0.005357 0.009996 0.020377 0.050333
2026-01-25 0.001213 0.001889 0.003035 0.005277 0.010001 0.020821 0.053149
2026-02-01 0.001181 0.001854 0.003010 0.005308 0.010251 0.021895 0.058193
2026-02-08 0.001137 0.001799 0.002947 0.005256 0.010312 0.022505 0.061922